European markets follow different directions

The European markets follow different direction in trading Tuesday after yesterday’s rally, while the London market “erupts” with gains of 2.5% since yesterday remained closed for holidays. At the core banks and discussions about Greek debt. The news for the banking mega-deal in Greece yesterday boosted forex brokers and investors interest as it marks a progress in strengthening the financial sector in the country, says Rabobank. “The question of a possible Greek bankruptcy still hangs over the financial industry and economy so such a development is welcome,” he adds. Significantly less optimistic were consumers and businesses in the Eurozone in August, as fears of debt crisis kept and the growth outlook remains weak. According to the monthly survey of the European Commission’s economic sentiment indicator fell to 98.3 points from the 103 units in July. This figure is the lowest since March last year and was below economists’ expectations for 100.5 points, according to a poll of Dow Jones Newswires.

On the dashboard, the estimator of the state of the stock markets of member countries of the Eurozone, the Euro Stoxx 50 record gains 0.57%. In London, the FTSE100 notes ‘leap’ 2.35%, German DAX declining at a rate of 0, 53%, while in Paris the CAC-40 moved to -0.27%. Gains 0.17% notes IBEX in Spain, at a rate of 0.77% decline in the Italian MIB, while in Portugal the PSI record fall 0.37 %. The Swiss SMI strengthened 0.44%. Negative signs have indices in Russia, the RTS to -0.80% and -0.04% in Micex. In Turkey, the market will remain closed until Thursday. In Great Britain, at the highest level in more than one year was the number of mortgage approvals in Britain, as current data showed the Bank of England. The BOE announced that in July approved 49,239 home loans, compared with 48,500 in June. This is the highest reading since May 2010. Net mortgage lending, which takes into account repayments, rose by 700 million pounds in July, rising 0.1% monthly and 0.8% on an annual basis

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Fall on short positions in Nasdaq and NYSE in late July

Fall by 1.4% and 0.7% respectively recorded on the short positions in shares of Nasdaq and NYSE respectively in the second half of July compared to the first. As broadcast foreign news agencies, the short positions fell to 6.64 billion shares in 2,294 Nasdaq by 6.73 billion shares in 2,297 in the first half. On the NYSE short positions fell to 13.31 billion shares from 13.4 billion shares in the first half. This figure corresponds to 3.48 of the total shares.

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Ireland: industrial production fell for first time in 16 months

Declined for the first time in 16 months recorded in ​​the industrial production of Ireland in June, marking the end of the recent period of favorable conditions in the area, according to research today saw the light of day. The Irish Index NCB Stockbrokers Republic showed that new orders fell in June for the first time in 9 months. Specifically, the index in June stood at 49.8 points from 51.8 points in May and 56 units in April mainly due to ” fragile consumer confidence, “according to a statement of NCB Stockbrokers. Please note that index over 50 indicates expansion in manufacturing. In addition, the survey showed that domestic demand fell in June, while companies from abroad increased, although the slower in the last 18 months. As new orders fell, employment recorded a drop for second straight month. The survey also showed that manufacturers pass on higher costs of raw materials to consumers. Ireland was the second country which asked help from IMF and EU due to collapse of the Irish banks. The Euro was trading that time at 1.3800 (against the USD) while now it is trading well above the 1.4500 while the forex brokers say that if the next support point break then there is room for a rally up to 1.4700.

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Pimco: prefers government bonds of emerging economies

The increasing risk of bankruptcy in Greece and the impasse to increase the ceiling of U.S. debt means that this is the right time for bond investors to renew the portfolio of government bonds, in line with estimates of the portfolio manager PIMCO. Over the next three to five years, government bonds with emerging countries may be more secure than those offered by developed nations, says Scott Mather, head of global bond portfolio management of PIMCO. Treasury bonds “subject to radical change,” said Mr. Mather.In subsequent years, the government bonds of developed countries will deteriorate significantly in credibility, says Mather, adding that measures should be implemented austerity or stronger growth to reduce the possibility of a new debt crisis in the future. We need also to consider the fact that many emerging economies might change their currency rate on the forex market in order to reflect the developments and curb inflationary pressures.

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Fed’s Dudley: Economy will improve in the second half

The U.S. economy is expected to accelerate in the second half of the year and will decline gradually the negative impact of high prices in energy and food from some other sources of temporary slowdown, today took William Dudley, chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. “Despite the recent slowdown, economic conditions have improved in the last year,” Dudley said, adding: “I expect economic recovery to continue at a moderate pace.” This might boost the EURUSD or the USDJPY rates on the online forex market. The official did not wish to comment on monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, although he suggested that the economy seems to need some support from the U.S. central bank. “We still have a long road ahead until you meet the dual objectives of full employment Fed in conjunction with price stability,” said the central banker as transmits Dow Jones Newswires. Commenting on the U.S. labor market noted that “even if the economy created 300,000 jobs a month for the next half year, would still have significant weaknesses in late 2012.

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Mobius: He sees opportunities in “inevitable” crisis coming

Inevitable considers a new crisis, the well known investor Mark Mobius, head of Templeton Emerging Market Group, in yesterday’s statements to the U.S. network CNBC.
But the crisis is “not a major disaster. In fact it could be an opportunity to buy cheap shares, “said Mobius. “So I do not think that is very bad if done.” The economic problems created by the mortgage crisis “have not actually solved. The banks considered too big to fail have become even bigger. The bank accounts around the world are not so healthy. Therefore, there is a situation which if not corrected will cause a new crisis”.

Meanwhile, the Mobius said he did not know when it will be shown this new crisis, but his portfolio includes shares that the company believes that it can withstand the crisis, such as stocks of goods and consumer products. The Mobius appears cautious on China, focusing on oil stocks and that has to do with consumers, including automakers and department stores, which “sees” the greatest growth. Of course, a new crisis could only benefit those that are involved in the forex market where volatility is the main feature.

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The European crisis in the agenda of Obama, Merkel

German Chancellor Angela Merkel will discuss the debt crisis of the Eurozone with the U.S. president when Barack Obama will visit Washington on Monday and Tuesday, according to current official said the German government. The Merkel always stresses the importance of the International Monetary Fund to resolve the debt crisis, giving the U.S. an important role in this as it is the country with the largest contribution to the organization, said the official, who wished to remain anonymous. Obama and Merkel will also discuss the debt problems of U.S. and the EURUSD forex rate. The German chancellor will explain also the so-called “debt brake” – a constitutional rule to achieve a nearly balanced budget by 2016. The nomination of the French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde on the leadership of the IMF will also be on the agenda of the talks, according to officials. The two leaders will also speak on the idea of ​​an Atlantic economic council that will seek to achieve uniform standards to make more secure economic globalization, said the official. Efforts to overthrow regimes and implementation of reforms in the Middle East and North Africa will be found and are on the agenda.

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France: Improved in May the consumer confidence

Slightly improved the consumer confidence in France in May as households were more optimistic about the economic outlook of the country, according to data seen today in the media spotlight. The consumer confidence index rose to 84 units in May from 83 units in April, announced today the French statistics office Insee. Analysts polled by Dow Jones Newswires had estimated the index would remain unchanged at 83 points.

“These households were more optimistic about their standard of living now and in future,” the statistics office said, noting that both indicators improved in May at 2 and 6 points respectively on a monthly basis. We should note here that the financial sector of the second largest economy in the eurozone is quite strong and there are many indivintuals who act as forex broker or economic advisors. The index for expectations on the employment front has improved significantly, indicating that fewer consumers expected deterioration in May. The index had lost 18 points since February, he returned to the long-term average, said the Insee. The image of the consumer market study was consistent with the latest unemployment data announced by the Labor Department on Wednesday and showed that the number of unemployed who are seeking employment fell by 0.4% on the month in April. The French president, Nicolas Sarkozy has set a high priority to reducing unemployment as the country moves towards presidential elections in May next year. The most recent figures showed the unemployment rate was 9.2% in the fourth quarter. Unemployment in France rose by 10% as a result of the global recession in 2008 and 2009 by about 7.5% in mid-2007.

The households were also less pessimistic about the increases in product prices, as reported by Insee. In May, the indicators for the perception of inflation and the outlook for future prices fell by 8 and 15 points respectively.

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Less than expected the increase in retail sales

Increase, yet less than the estimations recorded for the April the retail sales in the U.S. according to government figures which published today.

Retail sales rose 0.5% over the previous month’s seasonally adjusted volume of 389.36 billion as announced by the U.S. Department of Commerce. The average estimates of analysts polled by Dow Jones Newswires spoke to a sales increase of 0.6% in April.

At the same time the March data were revised upwards, and showed a sales increase of 0.9% from baseline to rise 0.4%.

The government figures showed that sales of motor vehicles and parts rose 0.2% in April after falling 0.7% in March. Excluding auto sales, retail sales rose 0.6% confirming analysts’ estimates.

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GE: Acquisition of 90% of the Coverteam for over 3.2 billion dollars

The acquisition of 90% of Coverteam from Barclays Private Equity and LBO France, an amount of 3.2 billion dollars, agreed to go to General Electric. In today’s Communication, GE says that the transaction will be completed in the third quarter of this year. The senior executives Coverteam will retain 10% of French business, which GE is planning to acquire over the next two to three years at a price that will not exceed 480 million dollars. The agreement increases the amount spent by the GE CEO Jeffrey Imelt on acquisitions of energy companies since last October, more than 11 billion dollars. The company aims to expand its presence in research and development of hydrocarbons and renewables. The Coverteam-products which include engines and pipelines for gas last year, posted sales of $ 1.5 billion and EBITDA profits of 239 million dollars.

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